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User demand and national investment in two-wheel drive, 5G takes the lead in developing PCB communication. As early as the 4G era, global mobile Internet traffic has soared. According to the statistics of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, domestic mobile Internet traffic has doubled every year, far higher than the global 15% average growth rate. "High-definition video, Internet of Things (IoT), VR/AR and other application scenarios are emerging, which places strong demands on enhancing mobile broadband, mass connection, low-latency, high-reliability communication technology. 5G as a breakthrough Mobile communication technology will lead the new era of communication development under the two-wheel drive of user demand and state investment.
Every ten years of mobile communication cycle, China will lead the world in the 5G era after undergoing "2G follow-up, 3G breakthrough, 4G synchronization".
1G~4G China Mobile Communications is lagging behind the world, but it is still struggling to catch up. In the 4G era, the China-led TDD communication system will become the mainstream system of 5G. In the 5G era, China has taken the initiative to set up an IMT-2020 promotion team to promote the development of 5G technology standards with the help of the entire industry chain, and is expected to lead both technology and market.
In 2018, China will enter the key turning point of 5G promotion, and business time is expected to exceed expectations.
China's IMT-2020 Promotion Group's 5G pilot program is divided into two phases: technology R&D trials (2015~2018) and product R&D trials (2018~2020). In 2017, China established the world's largest 5G field test base in Huairou, Beijing. On January 16, 2018, China's IMT-2020 Promotion Team released the "5G Technology Research and Development Trial Phase III Specification". China Mobile announced that it will launch pilot projects in 12 cities across the country, while China Unicom has submitted young pilot associations in seven cities and completed field construction in Shanghai and Shenzhen. We expect that the domestic large-scale 5G pilot will be launched in the second half of 2018, and the trial period will be entered in 2019. The release of the 5G full commercial license may exceed expectations.
Taking history as a mirror, look forward to the future pattern of 3G/4G 5G industry chain
5G network and terminal hardware and software upgrades will bring profound changes to the industry chain and industry model. Operator: The right to speak with China. In the 3G/4G era, the global carrier market is continuously integrated and concentrated. In the 5G era, mainstream operators such as Vodafone and China Mobile are strong, and Chinese operators will have global voice. Major equipment suppliers: Strongly lead the industry chain, and the upstream equipment has a huge opportunity. Huawei, ZTE, Ericsson and New Nokia are all standing four feet high. In the 5G era, Chinese manufacturers will further squeeze the market share of European manufacturers, bringing opportunities for the localization of upstream equipment. RF equipment: 4G has a large number of participants, and the traditional RF equipment industry has a lower gross margin. 5G Due to Massive MIMO applications, 2/3 of the antenna's added value will be transferred to the PCB on which the antenna oscillator is mounted. According to the global printed board service card service provider, combined with ultra-high density network technology, it will bring new opportunities for PCB and high-frequency copper laminate materials. Optical device industry: With the fluctuation of the 3G/4G cycle, the concentration of the entire industry continues to decline. 5G Due to the Massive MIMO application, 2/3 of the antenna's added value will be transferred to the PCB on which the antenna oscillator is mounted. According to the global printed board service card service provider "Jiduobang", combined with ultra-high density network technology, it will bring new opportunities for PCB and high-frequency copper laminate materials. Optical device industry: With the fluctuation of the 3G/4G cycle, the concentration of the entire industry continues to decline. In the 5G era, the network investment of operators and the investment cycle of Internet data centers overlap, and Chinese manufacturers have emerged. Fiber Optic Cable Industry Chain: Presenting a pyramid-type industrial structure, manufacturers with integrated polished rods, optical fibers and optical cable production capacity will continue to maintain competitive advantages and industrial concentration will be further improved.
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